CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2018-02-12T01:25:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2018-02-12T01:25ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/13660/-1
CME Note: This partial halo CME is associated with a long duration C1.5 flare peaking at 1:35Z from AR2699.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-02-15T07:38Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-02-16T09:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (NSSC SEPC)
Prediction Method Note:
Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-02-16T09:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0% MAX solar wind speed : (380,520)km/s Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3 - 5 Prediction Method: Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)Lead Time: 48.57 hour(s)
Difference: -25.37 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Jingjing Wang (NSSC SEPC) on 2018-02-13T07:04Z
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